Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.037475 0.040432 0.043534 0.047035 0.050883 0.054988 0.059709
2025-05-11 0.032566 0.036720 0.041317 0.046801 0.053190 0.060430 0.069299
2025-05-18 0.029225 0.034048 0.039602 0.046510 0.054932 0.064938 0.077834
2025-05-25 0.026834 0.032092 0.038344 0.046392 0.056577 0.069168 0.086118
2025-06-01 0.024676 0.030153 0.036841 0.045702 0.057276 0.072080 0.092776
2025-06-08 0.022801 0.028380 0.035350 0.044817 0.057530 0.074288 0.098521
2025-06-15 0.021382 0.027061 0.034304 0.044368 0.058234 0.077033 0.105098
2025-06-22 0.020165 0.025909 0.033372 0.043962 0.058900 0.079688 0.111667
2025-06-29 0.018933 0.024650 0.032204 0.043122 0.058853 0.081268 0.116705
2025-07-06 0.018294 0.024147 0.032013 0.043605 0.060680 0.085624 0.126228
2025-07-13 0.017554 0.023456 0.031511 0.043590 0.061747 0.088885 0.134270
2025-07-20 0.017048 0.023058 0.031388 0.044099 0.063599 0.093429 0.144715
2025-07-27 0.016337 0.022340 0.030777 0.043859 0.064304 0.096259 0.152637
2025-08-03 0.015704 0.021702 0.030247 0.043701 0.065115 0.099298 0.161168
2025-08-10 0.015093 0.021065 0.029681 0.043447 0.065739 0.102049 0.169412
2025-08-17 0.014567 0.020527 0.029232 0.043340 0.066579 0.105193 0.178617
2025-08-24 0.013942 0.019813 0.028481 0.042706 0.066493 0.106731 0.184956
2025-08-31 0.013314 0.019068 0.027647 0.041890 0.066044 0.107585 0.190041
2025-09-07 0.012825 0.018513 0.027080 0.041477 0.066245 0.109588 0.197515
2025-09-14 0.012375 0.018000 0.026556 0.041102 0.066483 0.111654 0.205283
2025-09-21 0.011861 0.017368 0.025818 0.040328 0.065964 0.112279 0.210139
2025-09-28 0.011646 0.017196 0.025802 0.040773 0.067641 0.117114 0.224244
2025-10-05 0.011344 0.016873 0.025530 0.040759 0.068477 0.120395 0.235339